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000
FXUS64 KAMA 210800
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
300 AM CDT Wed Jul 21 2021

.SHORT TERM...Today through Thursday night

Upper high over the Four Corners region today will allow for a
dry northeasterly flow aloft across the Panhandles. Upper low over
central Texas later today and tonight will track slowly west into
west Texas Thursday and southwest Texas Thursday night. A
continued dry northeasterly flow aloft will prevail over the
Panhandles tonight through Thursday night.

Surface low over the central Rockies today through Thursday with a
surface trough extending southwest across the southern Rockies
will allow for a warmer southerly surface flow today through
Thursday night. The surface trough should deepen Thursday and
allow for the pressure gradient to tighten resulting in breezy
southerly winds. Convection expected to remain well west of the
Panhandles from the central Rockies back down into the
southwestern states and southern Rockies.

Schneider

&&

.LONG TERM...Friday through Tuesday...

By Friday the upper low will be over West Texas with the moisture
kept out of the Panhandles. The 500mb low will continue to
retrograde west through the weekend, which will open the door for
precipitation chances returning to the forecast area as the
Pacific moisture wraps around the east side of the low over
eastern New Mexico and West Texas. As the low continues to push
westward south of the upper ridge and into the Pacific by early
next week, the high will begin to build further east into the
Central Plains by mid-week.

The best chances of precipitation this weekend will be in the
western Panhandles with showers an storms coming in from eastern
New Mexico. Sunday the chance for precipitation becomes more
widespread with the low in the best location for moisture
advection into the forecast area. However, the chances still
remain low with almost a 20 percent chance across the entire
Panhandles.

Surface winds will remain out of the south southwest with highs
remaining warm and near normal in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Low
temperatures will be mild and near normal in the mid 60s to lower
70s.

Rutt

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                85  63  89  67  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  89  64  94  68  97 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              88  61  91  64  92 /   0   0   0   0   5
Borger TX                  88  67  94  70  97 /   0   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              88  64  91  67  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  86  62  88  66  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               86  64  89  67  91 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 88  60  90  62  90 /   0   0   0   0   5
Guymon OK                  89  63  94  66  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                85  62  88  65  90 /   0   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                88  64  92  68  95 /   0   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   85  64  90  67  93 /   0   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                86  63  90  67  92 /   0   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              88  64  91  67  94 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

11/23