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000
FXUS62 KFFC 060848
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
448 AM EDT Thu May 6 2021



.SHORT TERM /Today through Friday/...

The cold front has finally pushed south of the area and cool
Northwesterly flow has set up. This NWLY flow will keep things
fairly dry but there is a weak wave that moves across N GA this
afternoon/evening that will bring increased cloud cover and some
isolated showers to extreme N GA today. These showers will be light
and not expecting much in the way of QPF values so keeping precip
chances very low through tonight. Instabilities are also very weak
so no thunderstorms expected. The biggest concern this forecast
period is the cool temperatures expected to move in across the state
over the next few days. High temps today will get up into the 60s
and 70s with some lower 80s across east central GA. Low temps
tonight will dip down into the 40s and 50s with highs in the 60s and
70s for Friday. These temps will be about 5-10 degrees lower than
the seasonal norms.

01

&&

.LONG TERM /Friday Night through Wednesday/...

Guidance trending with a bit more enhanced deep layer moisture
advecting in along a weak impulse in the NW flow for Saturday so
have some slight to low end chance pops for showers in the far
north with some increased cloud coverage, then trending a bit
drier for Sunday in the north with less moisture in the shifted
zonal flow. The largely upper zonal regime should linger thru the
rest of the period aided by SW low level advection off the Gulf
and potential for active pattern of disturbances each day Monday
thru Wednesday that could focus scattered to widespread showers or
storms. Monday has the highest pops (likely to categorical) as
forcing will be also aided by a reinforcing cold front from the
north. Models are a bit inconsistent with a possible wedge
building in or the amount of southward propagation for the
stalling front for Tues/Wed, so the northern and eastern CWA could
have more stabilization leaving central/western GA with a greater
thunderstorm potential.

Temps will be coolest starting out Friday night as many areas will
be in the mid to upper 40s, then moderating warmer for the weekend
ahead of the aforementioned next front on Monday. Early next week
should be close to climo norms.

Baker

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z Update...

VFR ceilings with no precipitation or restrictions to VSBYs
expected. W to NW winds 7-12kt expected today with afternoon gusts
15-20kt. These gust will diminish around sunset tonight.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update... High confidence on all elements.

01

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          73  51  69  47 /   5   0   0   0
Atlanta         71  51  68  49 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     66  44  61  42 /   5  10   5   0
Cartersville    71  48  68  45 /   0   5   0   0
Columbus        77  54  74  49 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     70  50  67  47 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           78  51  74  45 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            73  48  70  46 /   0   5   0   0
Peachtree City  73  50  70  47 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         82  56  77  51 /   5   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....Baker
AVIATION...01