River Forecast Issued by NWS
000
FGUS53 KKRF 151501
RVFMIL
RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1500Z Tue Jun 15 2021
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.
: FORECAST GROUP IS MILK
: *****************************************************************
: *** This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to ***
: *** forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for the next 15 days ***
: *****************************************************************
: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 120 hours of QPF <==
:________________________________________________________________
:INTNL BOUNDARY MT - SAINT MARY RIVER HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.2 FT AT 1410Z ON 0615
:Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 5.1
: 0615 / 5.1 / 5.2 / 5.2
.ER SMBM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 5.2
.E2 : 0616 : / 5.2 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E3 : 0617 : / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E4 : 0618 : / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.2
.E5 : 0619 : / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E6 : 0620 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E7 : 0621 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E8 : 0622 : / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.1
.E9 : 0623 : / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0
.E10: 0624 : / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0
.E11: 0625 : / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.9
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 0.00
: 0615 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15: 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0615 / 0.00
: 0616 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0617 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0618 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0619 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0620 / 0.04 / 0.06 / 0.04
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20: 0.16 inches
:INTNL BOUNDARY MT - SAINT MARY RIVER HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 1.16 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615
.ER SMBM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 1.194
.E2 : 0616 : / 1.228 / 1.260 / 1.294 / 1.315
.E3 : 0617 : / 1.319 / 1.312 / 1.302 / 1.286
.E4 : 0618 : / 1.262 / 1.235 / 1.214 / 1.192
.E5 : 0619 : / 1.166 / 1.141 / 1.124 / 1.109
.E6 : 0620 : / 1.098 / 1.096 / 1.102 / 1.111
.E7 : 0621 : / 1.118 / 1.119 / 1.112 / 1.098
.E8 : 0622 : / 1.081 / 1.066 / 1.055 / 1.044
.E9 : 0623 : / 1.032 / 1.021 / 1.015 / 1.008
.E10: 0624 : / 0.999 / 0.990 / 0.981 / 0.969
.E11: 0625 : / 0.953 / 0.936 / 0.921
:________________________________________________________________
:EASTERN CROSSING MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.2 FT AT 1415Z ON 0615
:Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 4.1
: 0615 / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.2
.ER ERNM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 4.2
.E2 : 0616 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E3 : 0617 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E4 : 0618 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E5 : 0619 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E6 : 0620 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E7 : 0621 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E8 : 0622 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E9 : 0623 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2
.E10: 0624 : / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.1
.E11: 0625 : / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.1
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 0.00
: 0615 / 0.00 / 0.09 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15: 0.09 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0615 / 0.00
: 0616 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0617 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0618 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0619 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0620 / 0.00 / 0.04 / 0.04
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20: 0.08 inches
:EASTERN CROSSING MT - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.62 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615
.ER ERNM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 0.620
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.619 / 0.619 / 0.619 / 0.618
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.618 / 0.617 / 0.617 / 0.617
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.616 / 0.616 / 0.615 / 0.615
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.615 / 0.614 / 0.614 / 0.614
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.613 / 0.613 / 0.613 / 0.612
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.612 / 0.611 / 0.611 / 0.611
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.610 / 0.610 / 0.610 / 0.609
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.609 / 0.608 / 0.608 / 0.608
.E10: 0624 : / 0.607 / 0.607 / 0.607 / 0.606
.E11: 0625 : / 0.606 / 0.606 / 0.605
:________________________________________________________________
:HARLEM MT 4SSE - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.6 FT AT 1430Z ON 0615
:Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 5.7
: 0615 / 5.7 / 5.6 / 5.6
.ER HRLM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 5.5
.E2 : 0616 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E3 : 0617 : / 5.4 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E4 : 0618 : / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E5 : 0619 : / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3
.E6 : 0620 : / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E7 : 0621 : / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4 / 5.4
.E8 : 0622 : / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.5 / 5.6
.E9 : 0623 : / 5.6 / 5.6 / 5.7 / 5.7
.E10: 0624 : / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.8 / 5.8
.E11: 0625 : / 5.8 / 5.8 / 5.8
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 0.00
: 0615 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15: 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0615 / 0.00
: 0616 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0617 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0618 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0619 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0620 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.09
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20: 0.10 inches
:HARLEM MT 4SSE - MILK RIVER HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.47 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615
.ER HRLM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 0.462
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.456 / 0.453 / 0.450 / 0.446
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.441 / 0.437 / 0.433 / 0.432
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.432 / 0.432 / 0.433 / 0.434
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.435 / 0.436 / 0.434 / 0.432
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.431 / 0.432 / 0.439 / 0.443
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.443 / 0.443 / 0.447 / 0.449
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.451 / 0.455 / 0.461 / 0.466
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.470 / 0.475 / 0.479 / 0.484
.E10: 0624 : / 0.486 / 0.488 / 0.491 / 0.494
.E11: 0625 : / 0.496 / 0.498 / 0.499
:________________________________________________________________
:NASHUA MT 1SW - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.2 FT AT 1400Z ON 0615
:Obs Stage / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 2.2
: 0615 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3
.ER NSHM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/ 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 2.2
.E2 : 0616 : / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1
.E3 : 0617 : / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E4 : 0618 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E5 : 0619 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E6 : 0620 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0
.E7 : 0621 : / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9
.E8 : 0622 : / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6
.E9 : 0623 : / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.3
.E10: 0624 : / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.2 / 1.2
.E11: 0625 : / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2
:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0614 / 0.00
: 0615 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15: 0.00 inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
: / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
: 0615 / 0.00
: 0616 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0617 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0618 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0619 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
: 0620 / 0.00 / 0.00 / 0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20: 0.00 inches
:NASHUA MT 1SW - MILK RIVER HSA - GGW
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.25 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615
.ER NSHM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst / 00Z / 06Z / 12Z / 18Z
.E1 : 0615 : / 0.240
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.231 / 0.216 / 0.201 / 0.188
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.173 / 0.159 / 0.150 / 0.144
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.141 / 0.140 / 0.140 / 0.141
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.142 / 0.145 / 0.148 / 0.150
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.150 / 0.149 / 0.147 / 0.144
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.141 / 0.135 / 0.129 / 0.123
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.115 / 0.107 / 0.100 / 0.092
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.085 / 0.079 / 0.073 / 0.069
.E10: 0624 : / 0.064 / 0.061 / 0.058 / 0.055
.E11: 0625 : / 0.053 / 0.052 / 0.054
:*****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA - Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO - Weather Forecast Office
:TFX - NWS WFO Great Falls, Montana
:GGW - NWS WFO Glasgow, Montana
:BIS - NWS WFO Bismarck, North Dakota
:OBS - Observed
:EST - Estimated
:M - Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst - River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip - Precipitation
:QPE - Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF - Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: ajm
:...END of MESSAGE...