River Forecast
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000
FGUS53 KKRF 151501
RVFMIL

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
1500Z Tue Jun 15 2021
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA AND SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS MILK

: *****************************************************************
: ***  This forecast includes projected snowmelt due to         ***
: ***  forecasted 6-hour mean temperatures for the next 15 days ***
: *****************************************************************


: ==> This forecast includes obsd precip & 120 hours of QPF <==


:________________________________________________________________

:INTNL BOUNDARY MT - SAINT MARY RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 7.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 6.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 8.5 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.2 FT AT 1410Z ON 0615

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0614                           /   5.1
:   0615   /   5.1 /   5.2 /   5.2

.ER SMBM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         /   5.2
.E2 : 0616 : /   5.2 /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E3 : 0617 : /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E4 : 0618 : /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.2 /   5.2
.E5 : 0619 : /   5.2 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E6 : 0620 : /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E7 : 0621 : /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E8 : 0622 : /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E9 : 0623 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E10: 0624 : /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0 /   5.0
.E11: 0625 : /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.9

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0614                          /  0.00
:    0615  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0615                          /  0.00
:    0616  /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0617  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0618  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0619  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0620  /  0.04 /  0.06 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20:   0.16  inches


:INTNL BOUNDARY MT - SAINT MARY RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 1.16 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615


.ER SMBM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         / 1.194
.E2 : 0616 : / 1.228 / 1.260 / 1.294 / 1.315
.E3 : 0617 : / 1.319 / 1.312 / 1.302 / 1.286
.E4 : 0618 : / 1.262 / 1.235 / 1.214 / 1.192
.E5 : 0619 : / 1.166 / 1.141 / 1.124 / 1.109
.E6 : 0620 : / 1.098 / 1.096 / 1.102 / 1.111
.E7 : 0621 : / 1.118 / 1.119 / 1.112 / 1.098
.E8 : 0622 : / 1.081 / 1.066 / 1.055 / 1.044
.E9 : 0623 : / 1.032 / 1.021 / 1.015 / 1.008
.E10: 0624 : / 0.999 / 0.990 / 0.981 / 0.969
.E11: 0625 : / 0.953 / 0.936 / 0.921

:________________________________________________________________

:EASTERN CROSSING MT - MILK RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 9.5 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 8.5 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 11.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 13.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 4.2 FT AT 1415Z ON 0615

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0614                           /   4.1
:   0615   /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.2

.ER ERNM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         /   4.2
.E2 : 0616 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E3 : 0617 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E4 : 0618 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E5 : 0619 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E6 : 0620 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E7 : 0621 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E8 : 0622 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E9 : 0623 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2
.E10: 0624 : /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E11: 0625 : /   4.1 /   4.1 /   4.1

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0614                          /  0.00
:    0615  /  0.00 /  0.09 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15:   0.09  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0615                          /  0.00
:    0616  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0617  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0618  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0619  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0620  /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20:   0.08  inches


:EASTERN CROSSING MT - MILK RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.62 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615


.ER ERNM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         / 0.620
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.619 / 0.619 / 0.619 / 0.618
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.618 / 0.617 / 0.617 / 0.617
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.616 / 0.616 / 0.615 / 0.615
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.615 / 0.614 / 0.614 / 0.614
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.613 / 0.613 / 0.613 / 0.612
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.612 / 0.611 / 0.611 / 0.611
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.610 / 0.610 / 0.610 / 0.609
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.609 / 0.608 / 0.608 / 0.608
.E10: 0624 : / 0.607 / 0.607 / 0.607 / 0.606
.E11: 0625 : / 0.606 / 0.606 / 0.605

:________________________________________________________________

:HARLEM MT 4SSE - MILK RIVER     HSA - TFX
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 5.6 FT AT 1430Z ON 0615

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0614                           /   5.7
:   0615   /   5.7 /   5.6 /   5.6

.ER HRLM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         /   5.5
.E2 : 0616 : /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.4
.E3 : 0617 : /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E4 : 0618 : /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E5 : 0619 : /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E6 : 0620 : /   5.3 /   5.3 /   5.4 /   5.4
.E7 : 0621 : /   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.4 /   5.4
.E8 : 0622 : /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.5 /   5.6
.E9 : 0623 : /   5.6 /   5.6 /   5.7 /   5.7
.E10: 0624 : /   5.7 /   5.7 /   5.8 /   5.8
.E11: 0625 : /   5.8 /   5.8 /   5.8

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0614                          /  0.00
:    0615  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0615                          /  0.00
:    0616  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0617  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0618  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0619  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0620  /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.09
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20:   0.10  inches


:HARLEM MT 4SSE - MILK RIVER     HSA - TFX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.47 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615


.ER HRLM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         / 0.462
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.456 / 0.453 / 0.450 / 0.446
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.441 / 0.437 / 0.433 / 0.432
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.432 / 0.432 / 0.433 / 0.434
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.435 / 0.436 / 0.434 / 0.432
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.431 / 0.432 / 0.439 / 0.443
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.443 / 0.443 / 0.447 / 0.449
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.451 / 0.455 / 0.461 / 0.466
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.470 / 0.475 / 0.479 / 0.484
.E10: 0624 : / 0.486 / 0.488 / 0.491 / 0.494
.E11: 0625 : / 0.496 / 0.498 / 0.499

:________________________________________________________________

:NASHUA MT 1SW - MILK RIVER     HSA - GGW
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 2.2 FT AT 1400Z ON 0615

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0614                           /   2.2
:   0615   /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.3

.ER NSHM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         /   2.2
.E2 : 0616 : /   2.2 /   2.2 /   2.1 /   2.1
.E3 : 0617 : /   2.1 /   2.1 /   2.0 /   2.0
.E4 : 0618 : /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0
.E5 : 0619 : /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0
.E6 : 0620 : /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0 /   2.0
.E7 : 0621 : /   2.0 /   2.0 /   1.9 /   1.9
.E8 : 0622 : /   1.8 /   1.7 /   1.6 /   1.6
.E9 : 0623 : /   1.5 /   1.4 /   1.4 /   1.3
.E10: 0624 : /   1.3 /   1.3 /   1.2 /   1.2
.E11: 0625 : /   1.2 /   1.2 /   1.2

:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (PAST 24 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0614                          /  0.00
:    0615  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending Jun 15:   0.00  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip(inches) (NEXT 120 hrs):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0615                          /  0.00
:    0616  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0617  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0618  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0619  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0620  /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 120-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending Jun 20:   0.00  inches


:NASHUA MT 1SW - MILK RIVER     HSA - GGW
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 0.25 KCFS AT 1200Z ON 0615


.ER NSHM8 20210615 Z DC202106151500/DH18/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : 0615 :                         / 0.240
.E2 : 0616 : / 0.231 / 0.216 / 0.201 / 0.188
.E3 : 0617 : / 0.173 / 0.159 / 0.150 / 0.144
.E4 : 0618 : / 0.141 / 0.140 / 0.140 / 0.141
.E5 : 0619 : / 0.142 / 0.145 / 0.148 / 0.150
.E6 : 0620 : / 0.150 / 0.149 / 0.147 / 0.144
.E7 : 0621 : / 0.141 / 0.135 / 0.129 / 0.123
.E8 : 0622 : / 0.115 / 0.107 / 0.100 / 0.092
.E9 : 0623 : / 0.085 / 0.079 / 0.073 / 0.069
.E10: 0624 : / 0.064 / 0.061 / 0.058 / 0.055
.E11: 0625 : / 0.053 / 0.052 / 0.054

:*****************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:WFO -        Weather Forecast Office
:TFX -        NWS WFO Great Falls, Montana
:GGW -        NWS WFO Glasgow, Montana
:BIS -        NWS WFO Bismarck, North Dakota
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: ajm
:...END of MESSAGE...


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