Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 040727
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
227 AM CDT Tue Oct 4 2022

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT TUE OCT 4 2022

This AM, persistent broad E Conus surface ridging will continue
through Wednesday. Cloud cover will continue to be minimal as well
with only a few fair weather cumulus clouds to be noted with general
subsidence in place. The exception will be some scattered cirrus
across the SRN half of the state as some meager moisture traverses
around the base of an upper low over VA. Moisture will be limited
and we will continue with no pops through the period. Temperatures
will be similar over the short term with readings near to only
slightly below normal in spots.

08

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 145 AM CDT TUE OCT 4 2022

High pressure and weak northwest flow will remain Thursday and
Friday. This will bring high temperatures in the low to mid 80s
each day...with low temperatures in the low to mid 50s. On
Friday...a weak and dry frontal boundary will move through the
area as a low pressure system moves across the Great Lakes area.
This will bring northwesterly cold and dry air into the area.
High temperatures on Saturday will be about 10 degrees cooler than
on Friday. Low temperatures by Sunday morning will be in the low
40s in the north to low 50s in the south. Dry weather will remain
through the weekend.

24

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1245 AM CDT TUE OCT 4 2022

A VFR TAF forecast is expected for the next 24 hours. We continue
with a dry airmass. High pressure remains in control over E Conus
with minimal fair weather cumulus expected today again. Some
cirrus may move across the SRN part of the state around the base
of an upper low over VA and move across MGM/TOI. However, overall
moisture will again be limited across C AL today. Winds will be
light and varied during the day due to ridging ~ 4-6kts.

Note: Will continue with AMD NOT SKED at TOI while they have
comms issues.

08

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Dry conditions continue through the forecast period. Relative
humidity values will fall mainly into the 35 to 45 percent range
Tuesday. RH`s drop into 25 to 35 percent range Wednesday and
into the 30 to 40 percent range for Thursday. 20 foot winds
should remain below 10 mph each day, shifting from the northeast
Tuesday, to the northwest for Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     80  46  79  47 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    79  48  79  48 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  80  51  80  50 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  82  52  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      80  53  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      80  53  80  51 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  82  53  83  51 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        82  53  82  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...08
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...08


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