Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 040822
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
422 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 422 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

A dry reinforcing cold front will continue to move through the
area today. High pressure will then be in place across the area
through the rest of the week and the weekend, with generally NE
winds remaining across the area and dry conditions. Moisture then
increases from the south as a front approaches the area from the
north Sunday and Monday, with a few afternoon showers possible.
Highs will be in the lower to mid 80s for the next couple of days,
then increase a bit into the mid to upper 80s through the rest of
the period. Lows in the mid 50s to mid 60s warm into the 60s by
Friday through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 150 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

NE flow in place at 5-8kts across the area this morning, and will
continue around that through 18z then become NW with the sea
breeze at coastal locations. Winds return to the NE after 02z. VFR
expected through the period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 422 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

A cold front will continue to push through the waters today, with
high pressure building into the waters through the rest of the
period. NE flow will be in place generally AOB 15kts with seas
AOB 3ft.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 422 AM EDT Tue Oct 4 2022

No concerns. Some drier air moves in behind the front, with min RH
values across the north dropping into the upper 30 percent range,
but no critical humidities expected. Grounds remain very saturated
as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  82  64  84  66 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  85  66  85  67 /   0   0  10   0
GIF  82  62  84  64 /  10   0   0   0
SRQ  82  63  84  65 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  81  55  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  81  68  82  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Hurt


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