Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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AXUS74 KMAF 202357
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-280000-

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
657 PM CDT Tue Sep 20 2022 /557 PM MDT Tue Sep 20 2022/

...DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY IMPROVED ACROSS WEST TEXAS
AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO OVER THE PAST 30 DAYS...

.SYNOPSIS:

Abundant rainfall in late August and early September has
greatly alleviated drought conditions across much of the region.
Widespread precipitation totals of 2 to 4 inches were recorded
during this period with some locations such as Dryden, Fort
Stockton, and Midland experiencing a top 5 wettest August on
record. Drought conditions have been reduced and/or removed for
areas west of the Pecos River including the Guadalupe and Davis
Mountains and much of the Trans Pecos. The only areas west of the
Pecos River remaining in moderate drought (D1) are portions of
Pecos, Presidio, Terrell, and Brewster Counties. Farther north
across the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico, annual
precipitation deficits have been much larger, and thus drought
conditions have been slower to diminish. Most of the Permian Basin
is now in either D1 or D2, however portions of the northern
Permian Basin and Lea County remain in extreme drought (D3).

.SUMMARY OF IMPACTS:

According to the latest Texas Crop and Weather Report issued
by the Texas A&M Agriculture Program, the recent rainfall has
provided agricultural producers some relief from drought and
extreme heat over recent weeks, but most areas remain in a
moisture deficit. Unfortunately, all warm season crops, including
cotton were already harvested, or beyond any stage where moisture
would benefit. Thus cotton conditions remained mostly poor across
the region and yield is expected to be well below normal for
Texas. However, the drought improvement, and increasing soil
moisture should help kick start the cool season crops such as
small grains, oats, and wheat. Ranch land pastures have
experienced significant greenup over the past few weeks which
led to decent grazing conditions for livestock. However, some
overgrazed pastures will take more time and rainfall to bounce
back.

.DROUGHT MITIGATION ACTIONS:

Outdoor burn bans continue as of September 20th for a majority
of the West TX counties. The city of Midland continues to remain
under stage 2 or moderate water shortage conditions which includes
reduced flushing of water mains, reduced irrigation of public
landscaped areas, and increase use of an alternative supply
source. Most cities around the region currently have similar
restrictions in place.

.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK:

There is a 90 percent chance that La Nina conditions will
continue from September-November and an 80 percent chance of La
Nina continuing from November-January. A La Nina during the winter
months usually results in higher probabilities of a drier and
warmer pattern for much of the southern tier of the United States
including West Texas and southeast New Mexico. The Climate
Prediction Center`s three month outlook for October-December has a
50-60 percent chance of above average temperatures and a 40-50
percent chance of below average precipitation for our region. The
U.S. Seasonal Drought Outlook indicates areas in the Trans Pecos
will experience drought development and the drought will persist
across the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico. It is important
to note that the long range models do have a difficult time
resolving individual precipitation events. Therefore, heavy rain
or snow events could still occur this fall and winter season.

.HYDROLOGICAL CONDITIONS:

Reservoir Levels as of September 20th, 2022...

                   Normal   Pool    24-hr    % Conservation
 Reservoir          Pool    Today   Change      Capacity
 ---------          ----    -----   ------      --------
 JB Thomas        2258.00  2230.69  -0.03         28.0
 Colorado City    2070.20  2060.00  -0.02         58.0
 Champion Creek   2083.00  2069.56  -0.03         61.0
 Natural Dam Salt 2457.00  2447.29   0.00         48.0
 Moss Creek       2337.00  2326.75  -0.40         58.0
 Brantley         3256.70  3250.51  -0.05         67.0
 Avalon           3177.40  3172.70   0.11         22.0
 Red Bluff        2827.40  2819.79  -0.05         66.0

This product will be updated Tuesday October 18 or sooner if
drought conditions change significantly.

.RELATED WEB SITES:

Additional information on current drought conditions may be found
at the following web addresses:
US Drought Monitor: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu
US Drought Information System: https://www.drought.gov
NOAA Drought Page: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought
Our local drought web page:
https://forecast.weather.gov/
product.php?site=MAF&issuedby=MAF&product=DGT
NWS drought page:  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/drought
Office of the Texas State Climatologist:
http://www.climatexas.tamu.edu
NWS AHPS:  http://www.water.weather.gov/ahps
USGS:  https://www2.usgs.gov/water/
USACE:  http://www.mvr.usace.army.mil
Climate Prediction Center (CPC):  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/
International Boundary and Water Commission (IB&WC):
http://www.ibwc.state.gov

Additional water and river information:
NWS: https://water.weather.gov
OWP: https://water.noaa.gov
US Geological Survey (USGS): https://water.usgs.gov
US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE): https://www.usace.army.mil

.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS:

The Drought Monitor is a multi-agency effort involving the
National Weather Service and National Centers for Environmental
Information, the USDA, state and regional center climatologists
and the National Drought Mitigation Center. Information for this
statement has been gathered from NWS and FAA observation sites,
state cooperative extension services, the USDA, USACE and USGS.

.CONTACT INFORMATION:

If you have questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact:

National Weather Service
2500 Challenger Dr.
Midland, TX 79706
Phone...432-563-5006
sr-maf.webmaster@noaa.gov

$$


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