Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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AXUS75 KTWC 291250

Drought Information Statement
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
550 AM MST Fri Jul 29 2022



Drought intensity and extent: According to the latest U.S. Drought
Monitor, severe (D2) drought conditions were present across most
of Cochise, Santa Cruz, Pima counties and southwest Pinal counties.
Moderate (D1) drought conditions were present in northeast Cochise,
eastern Pinal, most of Graham and all of Greenlee counties.

Precipitation:  The hydrological water year, or since October 1st,
continues to be on the dry side across southeast Arizona. For the
2022 Monsoon, the first 44 days of the season has seen a mixed bag
of wetter and drier than normal rainfall across southeast Arizona.

Rainfall totals below are for the current Water Year (October 1,
2021 to July 28, 2022)

Station               Total  +/- Normal  Ranking        Period
Tucson Intl Airport   2.74    - 4.32"     2nd driest   1895-2022
Nogales Airport       7.37"   - 1.83"    10th driest   1999-2022
Sierra Vista          6.57"   - 1.34"    18th driest   1900-2022
Willcox               4.86"   - 3.51"    26th driest   1898-2022
Safford Airport       4.59"   - 1.08"    12th driest   1998-2022
Picacho Peak          3.52"   - 3.49"     6th driest   1988-2022
San Manuel            7.06"   - 1.19"    24th driest   1954-2022
Ajo                   3.37"   - 1.27"    16th driest   1914-2022

2022 Monsoon rainfall totals below from June 15 to July 28

Station              Total   +/- Normal  Ranking        Period
Tucson Intl Airport   0.71"   - 1.43"    20th driest   1895-2022
Nogales Airport       5.48"   + 1.33"     6th wettest  1999-2022
Sierra Vista          4.27"   + 0.83"    27th wettest  1900-2022
Willcox               1.62"   - 0.95"    39th driest   1898-2022
Safford Airport       2.69"   + 1.32"     3rd wettest  1998-2022
Picacho Peak          0.22"   - 1.02"     7th driest   1988-2022
San Manuel            4.17"   + 1.74"     7th wettest  1954-2022
Ajo                   2.35"   + 1.75"    14th wettest  1914-2022

Temperature: Above normal temperatures have been present across most
of southeast Arizona for most of this Summer.

Hydrologic conditions: Perennial sections of the Upper Gila River
and Upper San Pedro River have increased over the past month to
normal or above normal streamflow.


Hydrologic impacts: San Carlos Reservoir level has increased since
the start of monsoon season, but storage capacity is still less than
1 percent.

Fire hazards: Early monsoon flow developed in mid-June which brought
in much needed moisture. This early moisture with the continuation
of the monsoon flow pattern resulted in significantly increased
humidity levels and daily rounds of scattered showers and
thunderstorms for much of the region. As a result fire danger levels
are low and the threat of large wildfires in southern Arizona is

Fire restrictions on state and federal lands have been dropped
throughout southeast Arizona.


.LOCAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK: The Climate Prediction Center`s (CPC) 8-14
day outlook calls for enhanced probabilities for above normal
rainfall. The outlook for August calls for enhanced probabilities
for above normal rainfall.

The CPC outlook for August through October slightly favors above
normal temperatures and equal chances of above, below or near normal


This will be the last issuance of this product until extreme drought
(D3) or exceptional drought (D4) conditions return to southeast



Drought Conditions:
U.S. Drought Monitor: droughtmonitor.unl.edu
U.S. Drought Information System: drought.gov
NOAA Drought Page: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought
NWS Precipitation Analysis Page: water.weather.gov/precip
Climate Prediction Center: www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov
Western Region Climate Center: wrcc.dri.edu
Arizona Department of Water Resources:
Arizona State Climatologist: azclimate.asu.edu
NWS Tucson: weather.gov/tucson
Fire Restrictions: wildlandfire.az.gov/fire-restrictions

River Information:
NWS: water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=twc and cbrfc.noaa.gov
USGS: waterdata.usgs.gov/az/nwis/rt


Data for this statement was compiled from a number of different
federal, state and local agencies. The drought monitor is a multi-
agency effort involving the NOAA National Weather Service and
National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), the USDA,
state and regional climate center climatologists and the National
Drought Mitigation Center.


If you have any questions or comments about this Drought Information
Statement, please contact

National Weather Service
540 North Park Avenue, Suite 304
Tucson, Arizona 85719
Phone: 520-670-6526
Email: w-twc.webmaster@noaa.gov


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