Flood Statement
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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WGUS82 KTBW 040053
FLSTBW

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in
Florida...

  Alafia River At Lithia affecting Hillsborough County.

  Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301 affecting Hillsborough
  County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Myakka River At Myakka River State Park affecting Sarasota County.

  Peace River At Zolfo Springs at SR 17 affecting Hardee County.

  Peace River At Arcadia at SR 70 affecting DeSoto County.

  Peace River At Bartow affecting Polk County.

  Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72 affecting DeSoto County.

.Heavy rainfall associated with Hurricane Ian continues to cause
flooding issues along many area rivers. Dry weather through the week
will allow for the rivers to slowly recede through the week.

For the Alafia...including Lithia , Riverview near US 301...Minor
flooding is forecast.
For the Little Manatee...including Wimauma at US 301...Minor
flooding is forecast.
For the Myakka...including Myakka River State Park...Major flooding
is forecast.
For the Peace...including Bartow, Zolfo Springs at SR 17, Arcadia at
SR 70...Major flooding is forecast.
For the Horse Creek...including Arcadia at SR 72...Major flooding is
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Tuesday afternoon at 1200 PM EDT.

&&


FLC057-041600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-221005T1800Z/
/LITF1.1.ER.220929T0015Z.221001T0345Z.221005T1200Z.NO/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Alafia River At Lithia .

* WHEN...Until early Wednesday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...At 15.0 feet, Additional residences downstream of County
  Road 640 bridge begin flooding.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 15.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM EDT Monday was 16.4 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    Wednesday morning and continue falling to 9.1 feet Saturday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    15.2 feet on 08/12/1965.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

            Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Alafia River
Lithia      13.0  15.2  Mon 8 pm  13.7  12.4  11.3  10.2  9.1


&&

LAT...LON 2787 8218 2784 8228 2789 8228 2792 8218


$$

FLC057-041600-
/O.EXT.KTBW.FL.W.0011.000000T0000Z-221005T0100Z/
/WIMF1.1.ER.220928T1454Z.220930T0300Z.221004T1900Z.NO/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TOMORROW EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Little Manatee River At Wimauma at US 301.

* WHEN...Until late tomorrow evening.

* IMPACTS...At 13.0 feet, The canoe rental area floods.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 12.2 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM EDT Monday was 13.5 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage
    tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 7.2 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    12.2 feet on 10/01/2003.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Little Manatee River
Wimauma at US 301 11.0  12.2  Mon 8 pm  10.5  8.5   7.2   6.5   6.1


&&

LAT...LON 2763 8231 2764 8243 2770 8243 2770 8231


$$

FLC027-041600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARHF1.3.ER.220928T1042Z.220929T1445Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Horse Creek Near Arcadia at SR 72.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 16.0 feet, Water is on State Highways 72 and 761.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 16.4 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM EDT Monday was 17.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 13.3 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    16.4 feet on 03/22/1998.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Horse Creek
Arcadia at SR 7 12.0  16.4  Mon 8 pm  15.4  14.5  13.3  12.5  11.6


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8194 2708 8198 2708 8202 2726 8201


$$

FLC049-041600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ZFSF1.2.ER.220917T1400Z.220930T0515Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is
  forecast. This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Peace River At Zolfo Springs at SR 17.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 21.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM EDT Monday was 22.9 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 20.4 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    21.6 feet on 06/25/1945.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Peace River
Zolfo Springs at  16.0  21.7  Mon 8 pm  21.3  20.9  20.4  19.8  19.2


&&

LAT...LON 2762 8176 2735 8179 2735 8187 2762 8184


$$

FLC027-041600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARCF1.3.ER.220917T0030Z.221001T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Peace River At Arcadia at SR 70.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:30 PM EDT Monday the stage was 20.9 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:30 PM EDT Monday was 22.3 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 16.4 feet
    Saturday evening.
  - Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    20.6 feet on 01/01/1912.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location        Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Peace River
Arcadia at SR 7 11.0  20.9  Mon 8 pm  19.5  18.6  17.8  17.2  16.4


&&

LAT...LON 2735 8179 2714 8189 2704 8197 2704 8202
      2714 8197 2735 8186


$$

FLC115-041600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MKCF1.3.ER.220914T0745Z.221001T1100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Myakka River At Myakka River State Park.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* IMPACTS...At 11.9 feet, Water is on State Road 72.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:00 PM EDT Monday the stage was 11.6 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:00 PM EDT Monday was 12.2 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.7 feet Thursday
    evening.
  - Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.6 feet on 09/23/1962.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

                  Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Myakka River
Myakka River Stat 7.0   11.6  Mon 8 pm  10.9  10.3  9.7   9.1   8.6


&&

LAT...LON 2726 8226 2715 8234 2715 8238 2731 8226


$$

FLC105-041600-
/O.CON.KTBW.FL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/BARF1.3.ER.220915T0230Z.221002T1315Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
853 PM EDT Mon Oct 3 2022

...FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE...

* WHAT...Major flooding is occurring and major flooding is forecast.
  This approaches the flood of record.

* WHERE...Peace River At Bartow.

* WHEN...Until further notice.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 8:15 PM EDT Monday the stage was 10.7 feet.
  - Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours
    ending at 8:15 PM EDT Monday was 10.8 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.2 feet
    Thursday evening.
  - Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    11.0 feet on 09/13/1960.
  - https://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

           Fld   Observed        Forecasts (8 pm EDT)
Location   Stg   Stg   Day/Time  Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat

Peace River
Bartow     8.0   10.7  Mon 8 pm  10.6  10.4  10.2  10.0  9.8


&&

LAT...LON 2791 8178 2762 8176 2762 8184 2791 8186


$$

TBW


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