Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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FNUS21 KWNS 251701
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1200 PM CDT Sun Sep 25 2022

Valid 251700Z - 261200Z

Expanded the Elevated delineation farther west across South Dakota
and south into Nebraska based on morning high resolution guidance.
Elsewhere, the forecast appears on track and no additional changes
were needed. See previous discussion below.

..Bentley.. 09/25/2022

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1144 PM CDT Sat Sep 24 2022/

...Synopsis...
An upper-level trough will intensify across the Great Lakes region
into the Mid-Atlantic. In the West, ridging aloft will amplify while
slowly shifting east. At the surface, A cold front will continue
southward through the southern Plains while moving off the east
coast during the evening.

Elevated fire weather is expected within portions of the Plains as
relatively dry and gusty northerly/northwesterly winds develop
during the day/afternoon. Winds will be strongest in parts of the
Dakotas into eastern Nebraska, with diminishing strength farther
south into Oklahoma. RH of around 20-25% appears likely be afternoon
along with wind speeds of 15-25 mph. While these conditions could
extend from the northern Plains into the southern Plains, recent
precipitation in many areas has reduced fuel dryness. The areas of
greatest concern will be in central/eastern South Dakota, far
northern Nebraska, and central/southern Oklahoma. Elsewhere, locally
elevated conditions may still occur.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$


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