Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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000
FNUS73 KEAX 201516
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Happy Holler...Missouri Department of Conservation
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1016 AM CDT Tue Sep 20 2022

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0000 CDT on September 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Anticipate rain chances to be on the downward trend Thursday morning,
ending by late morning to midday. With the settle of a surface front
south of the site through the morning, winds will generally remain
out of the north and northeast through the day. Minimum relative
humidity values will hover in the upper 50s to lower 60 percent
range.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning, then slight
                    chance of rain showers in the morning.
CWR.................17 percent decreasing to 2 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 62.
RH..................Min 64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........84  84  86  89  91  87  82  78  77  75  74  75
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  55  55  56  57  58  59  60  61  61  61  61
RH..............83  80  80  77  75  72  69  67  65  65  65  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.14  14  15  15  16  17  17  17  17  17  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.5 2.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  10  12  12  12  12  13  14  14  13
Haines index....4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Kurtz
Requested by...Lindsey Latham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2218345.0/EAX
.DELDT 09/20/22
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lindsey.latham@mdc.mo.gov


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