Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 211446
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Spot Forecast for MDC Landowner Burn Workshop...Missouri Dept of Conservation
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
946 AM CDT Thu Sep 21 2023

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm today with a high around 81 degrees. RH will drop to
a minimum of around 55 percent by mid afternoon, with light
winds out of the east. Chances for wetting rains come early
Friday morning.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 7 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  58  51  39  30  28  27  28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  73  77  78  79  81  81  81
RH..............79  68  61  59  54  53  51  51
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   7   8   7   7   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  12  12  12  12  12  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 2.3 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.1 4.1 3.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.9   8   8   7   8   8   8   8
Haines index....3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
CWR.................9 percent increasing to 25 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........19  33  49  57  60  62  63  63  62  62  62  64
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  30
Temp............81  76  72  71  70  67  67  65  65  65  64  64
RH..............51  59  71  76  79  86  89  96  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  12  10  12  13  13  13  12  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE
Transp wind spd.8   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  9   9   9
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
CWR.................25 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  69  72  74  74  73  70  68  66  64  61  56
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............30  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............64  64  66  67  69  72  74  74  75  77  79  79
RH..............100 100 97  97  90  82  76  76  73  66  62  62
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  10  12  12  13  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  13  14  15  16  17  18  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.7 2.3 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   10  12  12  13  14  15  16  16
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Williams
Requested by...Cliff Wilson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2321185.0/EAX
.DELDT 09/21/23
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cliff.wilson@mdc.mo.gov


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