Text Products for FWS Issued by FGF

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND
Versions: 1
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FNUS73 KFGF 201614
FWSFGF

Spot Forecast for Ogema Wetland Bank...Stantec
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1114 AM CDT Wed Sep 20 2023

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on September 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please call the NWS in Grand Forks at 701-795-5127 for additional
information and monitor our website (www.weather.gov/fgf) or NOAA
All-Hazards Radio for the latest updates.

.DISCUSSION...

Frontal boundary wobbling back and forth over the area will bring
light and variable winds for much of today. The front is expected
to sag south and shift winds at the burn site to generally a more
west to northwest direction for a period this afternoon, then the
boundary will shift back by tomorrow morning and winds will
return to the east and southeast. Chances for precipitation at the
burn site will increase late tonight into tomorrow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy smoke.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest around
                    5 mph late in the morning becoming light
                    becoming northwest around 5 mph late in the
                    afternoon shifting to the north.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....2400 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    23400 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  18  24  29  35  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............72  75  77  77  78  79
RH..............51  46  43  40  39  39
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..0   0   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.3 3.1 3.8 4.1 3.9
Mixing wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   NW  N
Mixing wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..11  12  16  19  21  23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                    showers. Isolated thunderstorms in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east in the late evening and overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northeast 5 to 10 mph shifting to the east 10
                    to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the southeast after 3 am.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........41     43     39     27     42     59
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Temp............78     71     64     63     62     60
RH..............42     59     78     84     87     92
20 ft wind......N 5    NE 5   E 10   E 10   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.9      9      13     13     13     14
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   500    400    500    500    400
Mixing wind.....N 5    NE 10  E 15   E 15   E 15   SE 15

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Scattered
                    rain showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the late morning and afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....4300 knot-ft early in the morning increasing to
                    62900 knot-ft in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........55        45        39        59
Weather cov.....SCTTRD    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Temp............59        62        71        75
RH..............97        96        72        60
20 FT wind......E 10G13   E 10G13   S 10G15   SE 10G18
Mix hgt (ft)....400       700       2800      4500
Mixing wind.....E 15      SE 10     S 15      S 15
Vrate kt-ft/1K..5         6         37        58

$$
Forecaster...JR
Requested by...Michael Barger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2321125.0/FGF
.DELDT 09/20/23
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Michael.barger@stantec.com
National Weather Service National Headquarters
