Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Greer, SC

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FNUS72 KGSP 241807
FWSGSP

Spot Forecast for NC-Pisgah-ARD Garenflo Smoke Report...USFS
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
207 PM EDT Sat Sep 24 2022

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 EDT on September 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Warming continues on Sunday with scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms, mainly across the mountains. Dry and mild high
pressure returns Monday in the wake of a passing cold front.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Occasional
                    sprinkles late in the afternoon, then slight
                    chance of showers late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph late in the afternoon
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (31900 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................28 to 38.
Stability class.....3.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........8000.
Visibility (SM).....10.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.61.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  62  61
Weather cov.....OCL OCL SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  70  71
Dewpoint........46  46  47
RH..............42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 2.7 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W
Transp wind spd.12  10  9
LVORI...........1   1   2
ADI.............38  31  28
VRate kt-ft/100032  25  22
Ceiling (hft)...80  80  80
Visibility (sm).10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...763 762 761

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph after 3
                    am.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 7 mph shifting to the south 2 to
                    5 mph early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................1 to 13.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........6000 increasing to 23000 after 3 am, then
                    decreasing to 11000 after 3 am.
Visibility (SM).....10.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.53.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........60  58  61  53  42  30  22  23  31  46  46  58
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  67  63  61  60  59  58  58  57  57  57  56
Dewpoint........48  48  49  50  50  49  49  49  50  50  50  50
RH..............47  51  60  66  69  71  72  73  77  76  78  80
20 FT wind dir..W   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7   8   9   8   8   8   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   3   2   2   3   5   5   3   3   3   5   5
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
ADI.............13  2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRate kt-ft/10009   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Ceiling (hft)...80  80  80  80  70  70  70  70  60  230 120 110
Visibility (sm).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Sfc pres (in)...760 759 758 758 758 757 756 756 755 754 754 753

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    west with gusts to around 24 mph in the late
                    morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 4200 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 2 to 10 mph increasing to west 20 to 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (32100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (60300
                    knot-ft) late in the morning.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 14 increasing to 88 to 96.
Stability class.....4.
Pcpn amount.........0.11 inches.
Ceiling (FT)........10000 decreasing to 6000 in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 4500 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 1000 later in the afternoon.
Visibility (SM).....9.
Sfc pressure (in)...27.47.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66  77  88  86  82  75  71  67  60  53  48  50
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Temp............56  56  56  59  63  66  69  71  71  72  72  71
Dewpoint........50  50  51  53  55  55  56  57  57  57  57  56
RH..............80  80  82  79  75  70  64  61  61  60  59  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   9   12  14  15  18  20  22  23  23  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.9 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.3   2   3   10  20  28  29  29  26  26  25  23
LVORI...........4   4   6   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............2   2   4   14  36  60  66  71  93  96  94  88
VRate kt-ft/10002   2   3   10  32  60  69  79  81  86  87  84
Ceiling (hft)...100 60  60  80  60  60  60  45  10  30  40  40
Visibility (sm).9   10  9   10  10  10  10  9   9   9   9   9
Sfc pres (in)...753 753 753 753 752 752 751 751 750 749 748 747

$$
Forecaster...Mike Rehnberg
Requested by...Adam Kunce
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2218568.0/GSP
.DELDT 09/24/22
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0


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