Text Products for FWS Issued by SHV

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Versions: 1
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FNUS74 KSHV 271940
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for FY23 LICC Fire Support...SA Gray Team (USFS)
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
240 PM CDT Wed Sep 27 2023

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 CDT on September 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly quiet weather is anticipated over the next several days on
the fire weather front. Fuels are still slightly wet given recent much
needed rainfall, but it won`t take much longer for them to dry
out. A very localized shower or thunderstorm is possible tomorrow,
but confidence is not very high in that regard. Given the dry
weather expected over the next week, Fire Weather headlines may
return to the forecast by early next week. Outside of this, look
for MinRH values to range near, or below 40% for most of the next
week.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........70 at forecast start...Max 95.
RH..................97 percent at forecast start...Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds southeast at 4 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise East winds 5 to 6 mph
                    shifting to the northeast 6 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 6900
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the east 8 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 3 meters/second shifting to
                    the east 4 to 5 meters/second in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  24  25  25  24  21  26  36  41  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............70  75  82  86  89  92  93  93  94  93
RH..............97  84  72  59  52  43  40  37  36  37
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   6   8   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.6 3.0 4.8 6.1 6.7 6.9 6.9 5.9
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   7   7   8   9   10  10  10  12
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE  E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 66.
RH..................Max 97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......East winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 6 to
                    7 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.East around 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast around 3 meters/second after 3 am.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........58  63  41  28  10  7   5   7   6   5   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  86  80  77  75  74  73  72  71  69  68  67
RH..............38  46  56  64  69  74  77  81  86  91  97  95
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   6   6   6   5   4   4   3   2
20 FT wind gust.10  8   8   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   5   4
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  8   8   8   10  10  10  9   8   7   6   6
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Max 94.
RH..................Min 36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 10 mph increasing to around 9 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 4 meters/second increasing to around
                    4 meters/second late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   3   2   1   2   3   4   3   3   2   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............67  66  71  76  81  84  87  90  91  92  94  91
RH..............94  93  93  82  70  63  54  47  44  39  36  40
20 FT wind dir..SE  N   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..1   0   2   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.2   2   5   6   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.5 4.7 5.8 7.1 7.9 7.7 5.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  10  9
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds
around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. East
winds around 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. East
winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...DAVIS
Requested by...Stuart Guy Coombs
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2321495.0/SHV
.DELDT 09/27/23
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL 2023.lalic.support.plans@firenet.gov
National Weather Service National Headquarters
